Evento de «La Niña» declarado a partir de hoy.
El modelo Climate Forecast System, CFS por sus siglas en inglés, de la Oficina Nacional de Administración Oceánica y Atmosférica, NOAA, ha decretado el inicio del fenómeno La Niña.
It’s here! Today NOAA declared that #LaNina conditions are now present. Read more at @NWSCPC: https://t.co/1SoztfCqpc pic.twitter.com/XuYf0npd6Q
— National Weather Service (@NWS) September 10, 2020
Se han detectado anomalías en la temperatura del agua oceánica, lo que hace posible la presencia del evento meteorológico.
Se espera una alta actividad ciclónica, más de lo normal, en el Atlántico. Y ocasionará condiciones más secas de lo normal en el Norte de México y sur de EE.UU.
El enfriamiento en las temperaturas de la superficie del mar en el Pacífico, sobre todo en el Pacífico ecuatorial, se encuentra presente con un umbral de -0.5°C, que ha sido excedido por debajo del 3.4 de El Niño.
Ya en el pico de la temporada de ciclones tropicales, se observa un Océano Atlántico muy activo y el Pacífico con dos posibles zonas de perturbación.
El consenso de los pronosticadores respalda este panorama, y favorece un evento moderado cerca del límite durante la temporada alta de noviembre a enero. En resumen, las condiciones de La Niña están presentes y es probable que continúen durante el invierno del hemisferio norte con un 75% de probabilidad.
Con información de NOAA.
Somos Extremo Mundial.
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